Scenario Process for Pictet Asset Management

Going Viral: Global Post Pandemic Scenarios

Refining an investment approach for a world after COVID-19

Challenge

Pictet faced the challenge of anticipating how the investment landscape would evolve over the next decade. The COVID-19 pandemic prompted significant shifts in governments' priorities, led companies to adopt new business models, and caused citizens-consumers to reevaluate their needs. In light of these changes, futures scenarios were needed.

Approach

We carried out a Strategic Foresight Process based on scenario planning, creating four plausible scenarios for post-pandemic developments. The entire process was conducted virtually, leveraging technology and expertise. This approach involved in-depth research, data analysis, and strategic thinking.

Outcomes

Strengthened Strategy
Pictet gained a more robust foundation for making future strategic decisions as a prominent European asset manager.

1)

Thought Leadership
The final whitepaper aimed at engaging existing and potential clients. This publication showcased Pictet's expertise in navigating the evolving investment landscape.

2)

Investment Implications
Meticulously developed for emerging sectors within each scenario, equipping Pictet with valuable insights to guide their investment strategies.

3)

“The first variable concerns the values that citizens and consumers embrace – the principles that guide their decision making. The second is governance – the nature of inter-country relations and the influence of international institutions”

— Quote from the Going Viral-report about the two core dynamics

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